The Eastern Pacific refuses to let the novela end.
Well.
That was a story.
For a brief moment, it looked like we were going to get the ending every good tropical novela deserves: Iselle and Julio circling one another in the Pacific, headed toward a Fujiwhara-style interaction, with the larger Iselle ultimately swallowing Julio.
Except…
She never got to eat him.
Julio beat her to the ending.
💔 Julio’s final scene
At 2:00 PM PDT Tuesday, August 25, the National Hurricane Center declared that Julio’s circulation had opened into a trough of low pressure.
Julio was no longer a tropical cyclone.
His remnants were located about 630 miles west of the southern tip of Baja California, with maximum sustained winds around 45 mph. NHC expected the remnant vorticity to move northwestward into Iselle’s circulation and lose its identity.
And that was the final advisory.
The Julio chapter was officially closed.
And then there was Iselle…
Iselle wasn’t exactly having a great time either.
Wind shear, cooler water and dry air were steadily dismantling the storm. By Wednesday evening, NHC reported that Iselle had lost its deep convective organization and had become a post-tropical cyclone, with the remnant low expected to gradually spin down and eventually open into a trough.
So no mega-hurricane.
No superstorm.
No great Pacific power couple.
And, apparently, no Julio à la Iselle.
Just two tropical systems that managed to create considerably more drama than their finales deserved. 😂
🌧️ Meanwhile, Cabo was doing its own thing
And this is where the story gets interesting.
Because while everyone was watching the tropical systems offshore, Cabo San Lucas got a chubasco.
It came fast.
It dumped rain hard.
There was lightning, strong wind, flooding and the kind of sudden weather change that makes people who actually live here say, “Yep. That’s a chubasco.”
And then…
It was gone.
That’s the thing about Cabo’s summer rainfall. You can look at a forecast and see relatively modest rain chances over Cabo proper while a localized storm develops practically out of nowhere.
The August 24 chubasco produced intense localized rainfall, with reports of roughly 0.5 to 2 inches in some areas, enough to send water through streets and arroyos and create significant localized flooding.
And because Cabo is Cabo, the rain gauges or lack thereof, don’t always tell the story.
The weather station may say one thing—or, in this case, may not be able to say much at all—but the flooded streets, videos, lightning and very wet people don’t lie.
🌀 And now… what’s next?
Because naturally, we can’t just finish one novela and go home.
As of Thursday morning, August 27, the National Hurricane Center is watching multiple areas of potential development across the Eastern Pacific.
One disturbance about 900 miles south of the southern tip of Baja has a 90% chance of development through both 48 hours and seven days, with a tropical depression expected to form as it moves west-northwest well offshore of Mexico.
Another disturbance farther west has a 70% chance of development in 48 hours and 90% within seven days.
And a third area south of southwestern Mexico is expected to develop this weekend, with an 80% chance of formation within seven days.
So…
Julio is gone.
Iselle is gone.
The Cabo chubasco came and went.
And the Pacific looked at all of that and apparently said:
“Cute. Anyway…”
🌴 And Lala is STILL over there.
Because we can’t possibly leave her out.
Lala is still hanging around in the Central Pacific after developing way back on August 12. She’s been on the board for more than two weeks now and has traveled nearly 3,000 miles across the Pacific according to the material we’re tracking here.
She may be weakening, but Lala has officially become the character who refuses to leave the novela. 😂
And honestly?
At this point, I’m not even asking her to.
The names change. The storms weaken. The forecasts shift. And Cabo keeps doing what Cabo does best: occasionally producing weather that nobody saw coming until it was already happening.
So yes…
September is coming.
And we all know how that usually goes.
🌧️⚡🌴
And today, August 27, the beaches are still reflecting the unsettled conditions, with ZOFEMAT reporting red and yellow flags at numerous beaches throughout Los Cabos. 🚩
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