How Hurricanes are formed and when to blog about them?

Weather reporting is not a competition, so it doesn’t matter who tells you about it first. What matters, is whether or not the information is necessary to know at this moment, or if it can wait. That is such a tough one … we are a tourist town and of course, do not want to scare people from coming down here after months of planning and for some, years of saving – I’ve met many people visiting Cabo San Lucas who had our town on their bucket list. At the same time, more often than not, and I’ve seen it over and over again, people panic, and NOTHING HAPPENS. We all know the old adage of better safe than sorry but that is another reason, I write what pops into my mind regarding the weather and try to include the facts as I know them, when I know them.

Tehuantepec to Cabo Image

The above map show where “we” are, and Tehuantepec.  This time of the year, Tehuantepec is like the birthing area of storms. It’s nice and warm down there.  The water surrounding Cabo San Lucas, which is far far away from Tehuantepec, is still pretty cool and the winds are generally in our favor. We get all excited – a storm! – a storm! and maybe … we see an outer-band escape the storm and give us a bit of rain. Mind you we aren’t let down in the least. No one, wants a hurricane but sadly, hurricanes sideswiping us is when we usually get our much needed water supply in this paradise of a desert that meets the sea.

So what causes a hurricane, anyways? The image below will explain is much better than I, though I did not check to see if the stats in this image clearly borrowed  https://www.wunderground.com/ are current because it is totally besides the point.

hurricane-formation

So here we are in July … not a month locals pay much attention to storms for storms other than pruning palm trees.  Below is the 5-Day forecast from the National Hurricane Center. By morning, this 5-Day outlook might show nothing. Let’s see what Stuart says,

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON JUN 27 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A westward-moving tropical wave located over Central America is
expected to move into the eastern North Pacific on Tuesday, and then
induce a broad area of low pressure south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec
by Wednesday or Thursday.  Environmental conditions are forecast to
be conducive for gradual development of the disturbance through this
weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10
to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Forecaster Stewart

two_pac_5d0

Nothing to see here, move along is what I’m getting from this. It might totally dissipate over land, right? Except, then I have flashbacks to 2014 when one of the sites I use (brought those up for a reason) showed Cabo getting slammed (no those sites are not showing Cabo getting hit with this yet to exist storm) with twins the first – arriving the day of my wedding!!! Of course, what a nervous bride I was! Did we get a hurricane? No. My friends and family did however, not allow me to look outside while I was getting my hair and make-up done because apparently, there was a STUNNING lightning show.  In hind site I feel kinda left out as I love lighting storms from a distance. I know, rambling. My wedding was not ruined by rain or wind … in fact, the clouds in the distance made our late afternoon wedding and early evening photographs absolutely beautiful.

See my point?

Just like when wanting to find the best place for tacos, you eat where the locals eat, I think, and my opinion counts for nothing, you might consider how the locals respond to the weather. We don’t. Not until the very last minute no matter how much someone like myself shouts from the mountains BE PREPPERS because you never know, even I, have not stocked a thing. Okay well I did buy a few band-aids and a bag of rice. I’ve got hurricane windows …

But when should we panic? Usually not until September do we even bother. Unless of course you are a bride then totally freak but guess what?  There is always a plan B and as long as at the end of the day, you finally married the person of your dreams singing Come Rain or Come Shine by pick your favorite – Billie Holiday, Etta James, Ray Charles …It. Is. All. Good.

See below, “we” do not even have an active INVEST yet

gl_sst_mm

So I implore you for feedback. Comment here, comment on FB when I share it there and it’d be really awesome if you’d comment on wunderground. Whichever is the most convenient for you. I don’t want to write just to hear my nails tap on the keyboard. Do you want to know about what is currently a non existing storm and if yes, how often would you like an update from me when we can see the basics from a site like eebmike. Majority rules on this one.  When do you truly, want an update from a local?

~Jenn

www.livecaboradio.com