Hurricane Season Novela’s
I think I left off with Novela #5 on Erick. Let’s recap what my readers may have missed if you don’t also follow me on Facebook, where I’ve been regularly updating everyone on the latest beach safety updates and more! There is also an August outlook coming up. For the Novela graphics, I inserted links back to Facebook for the graphics. The novela-style weather reporting continues to be popular on social media.
If the GIF doesn’t load with the correct date it can be viewed here https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES19/ABI/SECTOR/eep/13/GOES19-EEP-13-900×540.gif
Storm Season Novela – Episode 6: Erick’s Exit & Waiting on Flossie
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/14DLbEEEhYt
The last time we checked in, Hurricane Erick was crashing the party, and I hit pause on the novela vibe out of respect for those dealing with real-life danger.
Quick recap:
Erick officially formed on June 17, 2025, and turned worst-case scenario when he made landfall near Puerto Escondido, Oaxaca as a Category 3 hurricane just two days later. He was like that novela villain you pray never shows up — loud, angry, and leaving devastation behind. In some areas, almost every home lost its roof, trees were stripped bare, and metal debris was scattered everywhere. Entire communities were left shellshocked.
Erick knocked out power and cell service for 30,000 people in Puerto Escondido and brought 33-foot waves along Mexico’s Pacific coast. The storm left 23 people dead, 28 injured, and 2 missing, with an estimated $204 million USD in damages.
It’s a heartbreaking situation, and we hope the region can begin recovering soon.
There’s no sassy way to wrap that up. It was a tragedy.
For those asking about Cabo San Lucas: we’re roughly 600 miles (970 km) northwest of Puerto Escondido and were never in Erick’s direct path.
Meanwhile… Meet Not-Yet-Flossie
Now, eyes are on Invest 95E, which is likely to become Tropical Storm Flossie in the next few days. And listen — while the name Flossie comes from the Latin florens, meaning blooming or flourishing, we’re politely asking her to do neither.
Girl, you don’t like piña coladas, getting caught in the rain, or sipping ice-cold drinks in a hammock. You do not need to flourish. Go home.
Right now, 95E is still a disorganized cluster of showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Conditions are expected to get friendlier for storm development this weekend, so odds are a depression forms by early next week.
The Spaghetti Models (yes, that’s their actual nickname — meteorology’s greatest carb-based contribution), but maybe we can rename them to pasta models (?) are all over the place, but the early vibe is a northward lean. Whether Flossie heads out to sea, turns west, or just waves at us in passing, it’s still too soon to call.
The good news:
Local waters near Cabo San Lucas are too cold right now to let any storm flex too hard. Think “if you’re a guy, you wouldn’t want to wade past your knees” kind of cold.
Stay tuned — this novela isn’t over, and you know I’ll keep you posted.
#CaboTravel #CaboVacation #TravelWeather #StormDrama
#WeatherWithAttitude #StaySaltyCabo #BeStormReady #PacificStormWatch #EastPac2025 #HurricaneWatch2025 #OdileAlumni #StormyLadiesOfTheEastPac #EyeOfTheCabo
Storm Season Novela – Episode 7: Flossie is Flexing!
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/16n2y2aVU1
On the last episode of the East Pacific Storm Season Novela, Flossie was just another name in the lineup waiting for her big moment — and she did not disappoint!
Our girl went from maybe becoming a tropical depression over the weekend to making headlines practically overnight. Flossie’s been carb-loading, swapping the treadmill for the free weights, and aiming high. She’s determined to reach hurricane status later today or tomorrow, with a few weather models hinting she could even flex up to a Category 2 hurricane by Wednesday. Personally, I think folks are underestimating her.
As of earlier today, Flossie was hanging out about 60 miles south-southwest of Zihuatanejo, Mexico — roughly 260 miles southeast of Manzanillo and about 650-ish miles from Cabo San Lucas.
Maximum sustained winds are 60 MPH and she’s moving northwest at 10 MPH. Her travel plans over the next few days look to keep her on a northwest to west-northwest path.
Now, the weather nerd scoop:
Satellite images show Flossie’s starting to look much better organized, with a big burst of thunderstorms over her center and signs of an inner core trying to form — think of it as her getting her makeup done before the big stormy reveal. The latest estimates have her at around 60 MPH winds, and conditions around her are ripe for her to strengthen quickly.
Warm ocean water, low wind shear, and plenty of tropical moisture are giving her everything she needs for a glow-up. In fact, some forecasts say there’s a solid chance she could increase by over 60 MPH in the next 48 hours. But like any diva, she won’t stay flawless forever — in about two days, the environment ahead will get drier and cooler, which should start to weaken her. By around day four, she’s expected to lose her tropical storm status and fade away as a post-tropical system.
As always with storms, no matter where her eye ends up, we could see a little rain here in Los Cabos. Rain forecasts love to change by the minute, but what’s more certain is that the surf will get rough and dangerous as she moves closer. It wouldn’t be surprising if the port authority closes the port to water activities for a day and issues a tropical storm watch for our area. Even during low tide, the waves could be sneaky and hazardous, so be extra careful at the beach.
Stay tuned — you know I’ll be watching her every move on that flexin’ Flossie; she’s clearly enjoying the spotlight.
#CaboTravel #CaboVacation #TravelWeather #StormDrama #WeatherWithAttitude #StaySaltyCabo #BeStormReady #PacificStormWatch #EastPac2025 #HurricaneWatch2025 #StormyLadiesOfTheEastPac #EyeOfTheCabo #LiveCaboStormFiles #LiveCaboRadio
Storm Season Novela – Episode 8: Flossie Has Leveled Up!
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/14MLLE9bhjB
6th named storm of the season.
I really thought Flossie would wait until midnight to show off, but nope… she had other plans! As of this evening, Flossie has officially leveled up to hurricane status.
Current Stats:
Location: 175 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico
(about 560-ish miles from Cabo San Lucas)
Winds: 75 mph, moving west-northwest at 10 mph
Will Flossie get stronger?
Yes, some steady to rapid strengthening is expected over the next 24-36 hours, with a chance of flirting with Category 2 hurricane status.
What about Cabo?
By the time Flossie gets closer to the Los Cabos area later this week, she should be a remnant low. That’s the plan — but you know how these storm novelas can be. Civil Protection is already doing their early monitoring and precautionary preps for us, just in case.
EDIT. Just read on a FB group, “News:
Tomorrow July 1st the port will be closed starting in the evening until further notice due to the incoming storm. Don’t listen to all the people on Facebook, check with your service providers about rescheduling and refunds if you had water activities scheduled.
Stay safe everyone and please have patience with the locals and businesses as we prep and get past this.
” end copy-paste edit and added a screenshot
Summary of Watches & Warnings:
Tropical Storm Warning:
Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula
Tropical Storm Watch:
East of Punta San Telmo to Zihuatanejo
North of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes
What does that mean?
A Warning = Tropical storm conditions are expected within 36 hours.
A Watch = Conditions possible within 48 hours.
If you’re in those areas, follow local guidance and stay safe.
The Nerdy Stuff (Translated)
Flossie’s satellite look has sharpened up, and there’s even a hint of an eye forming. She’s spinning in an environment perfect for growth: warm water, plenty of mid-level moisture, and light winds aloft.
There’s a 60%+ chance of rapid intensification in the next 24 hours. Flossie’s forecast to keep strengthening until about Thursday, then weaken as she hits cooler waters and dry air on her west-northwest track.
By the weekend, she should fizzle into a remnant low somewhere offshore.
Final Word:
As of now, no direct Cabo impacts expected — but we’ll keep a sharp eye on our stormy lady. If you’ve got travel plans this week, especially along mainland Mexico’s Pacific coast, check local updates.
Stay tuned for the next novela episode!
Storm season drama’s always better when it’s shared. Pass it along if you’ve got friends on the Pacific coast or fellow hurricane nerds who’ll appreciate the tea.
#CaboTravel #CaboVacation #StormDrama #WeatherWithAttitude #StaySaltyCabo #BeStormReady #PacificStormWatch #EastPac2025 #HurricaneWatch2025 #EyeOfTheCabo #LiveCaboStormFiles #LowPressureLowDown #GaleForceGossip
Storm Season Novela – Episode #9: Flossie’s Losing Her Mojo
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1JUWm9ET27
Well, I’ve got a quick update — Hurricane Flossie has officially weakened to a Category 2 as she sashays south of Baja California Sur. And in true diva fashion, she’s made it clear she’s got zero interest in a Cabo vacation. Rude. (Actually we are grateful).
Flossie’s Stats:
Location: About 235 miles south of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
Max Sustained Winds: 100 mph
Moving: Northwest at a lazy 9 mph (305° if you’re fancy)
Watches & Warnings:
None officially from the NHC, but don’t get cocky:
The port and beaches are CLOSED until further notice.
SURF: Big swells from Flossie are already making a scene along the southwest Mexico coast and the Baja peninsula. These waves mean serious business — expect dangerous surf and rip currents, not Insta-perfect beach days.
Local Scoop:
The second I grabbed a screenshot from my weather station “icabos3” (it’s on Weather Underground if you wanna nerd out too), guess what? It started to rain. Figures. Could be a sprinkle, could be buckets — we’ll find out together.
For The Weather Nerds (self included):
Flossie’s kinda falling apart. She hit colder water and drier air, which storms hate. The clouds around her aren’t as organized anymore (think bad hair day in a hurricane’s world). She’s weakening fast — her winds dropped to around 85 knots (that’s like 98 mph) and might be lower, but they’re being generous.
She’s moving northwest because there’s a gap in the big high-pressure system above her, thanks to a weather system hanging out over California. Flossie will keep heading that way for a bit, get weaker, and by tomorrow-ish, she’ll be downgraded to a post-tropical grump with no storms left in her. She’s expected to completely fall apart in about four days — but honestly, it could happen sooner.
Translation: Flossie’s fizzling out, still makes dangerous waves, and ain’t stopping by Cabo.
If you’ve got friends, family, or fellow weather nerds keeping an eye on this, feel free to share this update. A few folks grumbled I skipped a morning report (my bad, coffee first — always). Don’t let ‘em miss this one.
Stay safe, stay salty, and stay off those closed beaches.
(I argue with weather science after a few decades of doing this)
#Flossie #HurricaneFlossie #NoRainButDrama
#BeachClosedMood #CloudsCantCancelCabo
#SpicyWeatherUpdates #HumidityHairClub #ForecastAndFlipFlops
#BarometerBuddies #Cabo #cabosanlucas #StormsAndCervezas
The image below does not represent pasta models (spaghetti models), but all 7 named storms for the 2025 Hurricane Season
Storm Season Novela Update!
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/16z1cwFTdR
(Yes, it’s been a minute…)
July’s been relatively quiet, which means we haven’t had a new novela episode since “Episode #9: Flossie’s Losing Her Mojo.”
The low-pressure system we thought might be Gil? Well… he didn’t even make it past auditions! This morning, another system stepped up its game for central casting.
Enter: Tropical Storm Gil
Currently about 785 miles SSW of Cabo San Lucas, Gil has no interest in a Mexican vacation. He’s headed west to join Iona and Keli on a cruise past Hawaii. But since he formed in the East Pacific, he earns the title of the 7th named storm of the season.
Locally, sea temps are ripe for mischief, so don’t be surprised if August brings some action, hopefully staying out at sea where it belongs.
Meanwhile, back in Cabo:
It’s getting steamy.
A/C units are working overtime.
Beaches are seeing happy locals when tides and swim conditions allow.
We’ve had rain and thunder north of us frequently this month and today, to the south, but here in Cabo San Lucas? Chances remain slim.
Stay cool. Stay hydrated. And keep your novela alerts on … you never know who’ll show up next.
#CaboBeachDays #TooHotToFunction #StayCoolCabo #BajaSummer #ACIsMyBFF #HydrateOrEvaporate
#PoolOrBust #CaboSanLucas #LosCabos #CaboWeather #StormSeason2025 #EastPacificStorms
#BajaSur #TropicalWatch #BajaWeather #HurricaneSeason #CaboLife #StormSeasonNovela
#TropicalDrama #WeatherWithAttitude #StormyWithASideOfSass #NovelaUpdate #CentralCastingReject
When I finish the August weather outlook, I’ll be sure to post it here right away and not make you wait ❤️