If you’re reading this from anywhere in northern Mexico, brace yourself, August 2025 isn’t bringing the usual dry heat and sweat-soaked days.
This year, the dog days of summer might actually lie down and nap.
Instead of the relentless sun, several states are in for a cooler, wetter, and cloudier month. Shocking, I know. But this is one of those rare times when “atypical weather patterns” might actually work in your favor — or at least keep your plants happy.
Who’s Getting Rained On?
According to CONAGUA and the National Meteorological Service (SMN), these states are expected to get more rain than usual in August:
Nuevo León
Coahuila
Tamaulipas
Chihuahua
Durango
Sonora
Zacatecas
San Luis Potosí
Baja California Sur (mostly the southern part, hey Cabo, that’s us 
)
In these regions, the canícula … that infamous, oven-hot mid-summer stretch … could be cut short or disappear altogether. Think more humidity, more thunderstorms, and a whole lot more cloud cover.
So What’s Causing the Shift?
Blame it on a combo of tropical troublemakers:
Increased storm activity in both the Pacific and Gulf
A parade of tropical waves, surging ocean moisture, and low-pressure systems
Larger climate patterns are doing whatever chaotic, mysterious thing they do
Current forecasts call for up to five tropical storms, and a few more systems that could grow into hurricanes. Even if they stay offshore, they’re still likely to bring long-lasting rain, rising rivers, and the occasional landslide.
Yes, we’re watching. No, we don’t fully trust the models either. (Looking at you, long-range spaghetti plots.)
Time for a Gut Check
This may not be the end of the world, but it is a shift, and if you’ve lived through enough summers here, you know better than to shrug off weird weather.
Here’s your friendly preparedness refresher:
Follow official updates from Protección Civil, CONAGUA, and SMN
Don’t cross rivers or arroyos during storms … even if they look zen
Check your roof, windows, and gutters now, not later
Have an emergency go-bag ready (docs, water, snacks, batteries — you know the drill)
Unplug electronics during lightning or hailstorms
(Side note: after 20+ years here in Cabo, I still can’t remember hail actually happening at sea level. Someone on Facebook reminded me in March of 2015, 200meters of elevation, she had a bit of hail near San Jose del Cabo.)
If you’re driving in rain, go slow as visibility drops fast, and the roads aren’t built for it
Bottom Line
August is coming in weird. For the north, it’s cooler, cloudier, and a little too quiet. For those of us in the south, we’re sweating through the 90s with cloudy skies and trust issues.
Stay prepared, stay hydrated, and keep your eye on the tropics.
This season still has plenty of plot twists left.
Reporting from the Cabo Humidity Bunker,
Your Weather Novela Narrator