Afternoon update: the NHC has moved Frank’s path even further away from us. Frank is being a very good boy! Other than that, no change from this morning in intensity or speed of forward movement. While our water is warming up, the winds are still in our favor. So this is a good thing. Georgette however, is rapidly strengthening. This morning her max sustained winds were a mere 45mph and she has increased to 65mph, as well as her forward motion from 12mph to 14mph. Good … keep on moving Georgette! Also, there are no new areas of interest forming. end update ~2:45pm Cabo Time
Super active East Pacific Ocean, indeed!
I know many are concerned about rain, which is just so unpredictable.
From the NHC
WTPZ32 KNHC 221450
TROPICAL STORM FRANK ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072016
900 AM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016
…FRANK REMAINS A 50 MPH TROPICAL STORM…
SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
ABOUT 235 MI…380 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 420 MI…675 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH…22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1002 MB…29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in extreme southern Baja California Sur should monitor
the progress of Frank.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Frank was
located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 107.4 West. Frank is
moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). The tropical
cyclone should turn toward the west-northwest at a slightly slower
forward speed during the next two days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours and Frank
is forecast to become a hurricane by Sunday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.
ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082016 800 AM PDT FRI JUL 22 2016 ...DEPRESSION BECOMES THE SEVENTH TROPICAL STORM TO FORM IN JULY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.3N 117.1W ABOUT 870 MI...1400 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Georgette was located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 117.1 West. Georgette is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through Saturday. A west- northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is forecast late Saturday and Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Georgette is expected to become a hurricane by late Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan NNNN
Georgette, is the on in the middle, and we can see Frank over on the right.
Super busy today … so this will be brief. Just one forecast image for Darby.
Hawaii looks to get some rain and probably large swells …
Chow for now! ~Jenn
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