Afternoon update: Both Frank and Georgette are weakening, Frank is taking his time but Georgette is in a rush. This morning Frank’s max sustained winds were 65 mph with gusts up to 75mph, but now his max is 50mph with gusts of 65mph. Earlier today Georgette boasted 120mph max sustained with 150mph gusts, now I know a decrease in max sustained winds to 110mph isn’t much but her gusts have decreased to 135mph and will continue to weaken into a cat 1 sometime tonight/tomorrow morning. ~end update 2:50pm Cabo Time
Tropical Storm Frank is moving even further away from us out west but at 6mph which means we are stuck with the humidity from both Frank as well as the cloud accumulation he is pulling towards us off of mainland Mexico. This means we’ve got a chance of a bit of rain every day. As I mentioned last night, our own weather station reported 0.32 inches of rain in that short downpour we had on Saturday.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/epac/rb-animated.gif
From the NHC
000
WTPZ32 KNHC 251436
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRANK ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072016
900 AM MDT MON JUL 25 2016
…FRANK MOVING A BIT FASTER TOWARD THE WEST…
SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…20.4N 113.9W
ABOUT 310 MI…500 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 MPH…9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…994 MB…29.36 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Frank was
located near latitude 20.4 North, longitude 113.9 West. Frank is
moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h) and a west-northwestward
motion at a faster forward speed is expected over the next 48 hours.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little significant change in strength is forecast today,
with weakening likely to begin by late Tuesday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
SURF: Swells associated with Frank are affecting the coasts of the
southern Baja California peninsula and the state of Sinaloa. These
swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.
$$
Forecaster Blake
As you can see from the computer models above, where Frank will end up is anyone’s guess but he’s not coming here so it’s really a non-issue other than the humidity from being so close.
Georgette decided to surprise us all (2nd time the month has jumped from a cat 2 to a cat 4 without warning) and while she is a tiny little thing she moved over the same area that Blas did the same exact thing. Georgette is already beginning to weaken from her brief period as a Cat 4 down to a cat 3.
From the NHC
000
WTPZ33 KNHC 251435
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GEORGETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082016
800 AM PDT MON JUL 25 2016
…MAJOR HURRICANE GEORGETTE BEGINNING TO WEAKEN…
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…17.5N 127.3W
ABOUT 1185 MI...1910 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…120 MPH…195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…961 MB…28.38 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Georgette was
located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 127.3 West. Georgette
is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion
is expected to continue through Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts. Georgette is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Rapid weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours, and Georgette is forecast to weaken to a
tropical storm by early Wednesday.
Georgette is a small hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend
outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-
force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 961 mb (28.38 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.
$$
Forecaster Brennan
Tropical Despression Darby, who I haven’t really mentioned in a few days is finally breaking up after he crossed over Hawaii.
Yes, the storms are starting to get closer to land as Frank has shown us but the winds are still in our favor.
Now on to the never accurate 10-Day forecast!
Time to get to work. Have a fab Monday everyone!
~Jenn