First … a tiny rant. Social Responsibility vs Personal Responsibility. All locals know that hurricane season starts May 15th. I am surprised, when I hear stories to this day that people didn’t know about Odile even existing back in 2014 until the plane landed. I am sorry (#notsorry) but I’d think, people would check the weather before getting on a plane. I think, that is what motivated me to start this blog in the first place.
I have also read just this morning, people saying that just like Odile, there was no warning for Tropical Storm Javier. Excuse me? I get it, not everyone is on social media (it’s been all over Facebook, Twitter, Instagram etc) but whose job is it to inform you it might rain? I think, I will just stop there. The redhead in me is at her wits end with … never mind. Lets get to the real reason you are reading this.
Sorry I am late, I decided to take a long hot shower before heading into the office.
Yes, it is raining at this time. This is what we are being told to expect.
**Monday 08/08 80% / 0.81 in
Watching the tropics. Showery rains accompanied by heavy downpours and strong gusty winds at times. There will be some thunderstorms as well. High 84F. ESE winds at 5 to 10 mph, increasing to 25 to 35 mph. Chance of rain 80%.
**Monday Night 08/08 100% / 4 in
Tropical storm or hurricane conditions likely. Showery rains containing strong gusty winds and heavy downpours at times. Low around 75F. Winds S at 50 to 70 mph. Chance of rain 100%. 3 to 5 inches of rain expected.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/epac/rb-animated.gif
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 081435
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016
900 AM MDT MON AUG 08 2016
…HEAVY RAINS BEGINNING TO SPREAD OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA…
SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…22.0N 109.2W
ABOUT 75 MI…125 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…999 MB…29.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Los Barriles to Todos Santos
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for
* Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Los Barriles to San Evaristo
* Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* San Evaristo to Loreto
* Cabo San Lazaro to Puerto San Andresito
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was
located near latitude 22.0 North, longitude 109.2 West. Javier is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion
with a decrease in forward speed is expected through Tuesday. On
the forecast track, the center of Javier is forecast to pass near or
over the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula later today,
and move near the west coast of Baja California Sur tonight and
Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is possible while Javier passes near the extreme
Baja California peninsula.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 6 inches over coastal parts of the Mexican states of Sinaloa
and southern Sonora into Baja California Sur with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches through Wednesday morning.
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected over the extreme southern
portion of the Baja California peninsula within the warning area
later today. Tropical storm conditions are expected over the
remainder of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula
within the warning area by late afternoon. Tropical storm
conditions are possible within the watch area over the southern
portion of the Baja California peninsula on Tuesday.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
I think, the graphics are pretty self explanatory as well as the information I pasted from the NHC http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac but I’d like to take a moment to thank everyone that replies with weather.com links. Oh, I think this redhead needs to step away from the computer. I’ll post updates when I am not annoyed. But hey, that is the beauty of being a blogger. Everything is about my opinion whether I am right, or I am wrong and I get to change my mind and tude with the tide as situations change.
Oh, it’s REALLY starting to rain now! Edit – I know we are all still freaked from two years ago. Let’s remember to be kind to one another. Okay?
~Jenn