Today is the 1st day of Hurricane Season and Selfie

This post was delayed on posting so technically the 1st day of hurricane season was 2 days ago May 15th for the North E. Pacifc ocean because I’ve been idiotically waiting on the NHC from NOAA to put out their forecast when I know full well they won’t issue their seasonal forecast until at least May 25th however, I DO have one published by AccuWeather. I think the NHC is waiting a bit longer for the most current SST’s (sea surface temps) to make up their minds which is understandable.

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I haven't forgotten to look at last months weather "forecasts" to compare with what we actaully experienced I've just been a tad busy.  I can however tell you the current weather is pretty darned windy hence the featured image.  I literally walked out of a salon with the salon experience blow out and got a ... natural one hahahahahahaha #nofilterlife At that moment we had abot a 30 mph gust which wasn't obv as bad as the 50mpg gust the night before. IJS when I joke about hair days it's to keep things light even when things are ... serious. 

Anyways, so far, all the offical peeps with degrees are in agreement on approximately how manay named storms our ocean will receive on the pacific and of the direct US impacts confuses you, often times the pacific storms croiss over and states like Arizona get all giddy and stuff for monsoons because they need the rain as much as we do. flooding be darned for their areas they need the rain like we do.   

See below from a statement issued by the NHC a few days ago ... which holds true today. 

ABPZ20 KNHC 151714

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon May 15 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. 

Today marks the first day of the eastern North Pacific hurricane
season, which will run until November 30.  Long-term averages for
the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are
15, 8, and 4, respectively.

The list of names for 2023 is as follows:

Name           Pronunciation    Name            Pronunciation
Adrian         AY-dree-uhn      Max             maks
Beatriz        BEE-a-triz       Norma           NOOR-muh
Calvin         KAL-vin          Otis            OH-tis
Dora           DOR-ruh          Pilar           Pee-LAHR
Eugene         YOU-jeen         Ramon           rah-MOHN
Fernanda       fer-NAN-dah      Selma           SELL-mah
Greg           greg             Todd            tahd
Hilary         HIH-luh-ree      Veronica        vur-RAHN-ih-kuh
Irwin          UR-win           Wiley           WY-lee
Jova           HO-vah           Xina            ZEE-nah
Kenneth        KEH-neth         York            york
Lidia          LIH-dyah         Zelda           ZEL-dah

This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next seven days.  The issuance
times of this product are 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT.  After
the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 
4 AM, 10 AM, 4 PM, and 10 PM PST.

A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide 
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances 
of the Tropical Weather Outlook.  Special Tropical Weather Outlooks 
will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular 
Tropical Weather Outlooks.

A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone 
public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and 
a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all 
ongoing tropical cyclones.  In addition, a special advisory package 
may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected 
changes or to modify watches or warnings.

NHC has the option to issue advisories, watches, and warnings for 
disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but which pose 
the threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to 
land areas within 48 hours.  For these land-threatening "potential 
tropical cyclones", NHC will issue the full suite of advisory and 
watch/warning products.  Potential tropical cyclones share the 
naming conventions currently in place for tropical depressions, 
being numbered from a single list (e.g., "One-E", "Two-E", 
"Three-E", etc.).  





Just Jenn

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