I’m sorry for the delay in updating but “Just Jenn” called it an early night and had some last-minute prep work this morning. I may not do more updates to spread all over the interwebs but am considering one that I will just keep editing on MY conditions. The weather as much as the professionals try, is unpredictable. If you are one of my subscribers, are want to see how we are personally doing, it’ll be posted here:
As I am sure most of you are already aware, Hilary became a category 4 hurricane last night. Her position as of over an hour ago was 360 miles SSW of Cabo San Lucas Mexico with max winds of 145mph. Hurricane Hilary has slowed down a bit to 10mph heading NW. She’s 12 miles per hour and 20 millibars shy of being a category 5. Hurricane-force winds extend 45 miles from Hilary’s eye, and tropical-force winds are observed at 290 miles. While Hurricane Hilary’s intensity has leveled off, she is still capable of increasing in strength but will soon begin to move over cooler water and should begin to weaken by late tonight.
Please refer to the NHC for more updates as they will release them every 3 hours. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Hilary
COPY/PASTE: “NHC… WATCHES AND WARNINGS ——————– CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Warning for the Baja California peninsula from Punta Abreojos to Punta Eugenia. The Government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Watch for the Baja California peninsula from north of Punta Eugenia to Ensenada. The Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for mainland Mexico from Bahia Kino northward and from Loreto northward and from north of Ensenada to the California/Mexico border. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from the California/Mexico border to the Orange/Los Angeles County Line and for Catalina Island. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for… * Baja California peninsula from Punta Abreojos to Punta Eugenia A Hurricane Watch is in effect for… * Baja California peninsula north of Punta Eugenia to Ensenada A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for… * Baja California peninsula from Punta Abreojos southward * Baja California peninsula from Loreto southward A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for… * Baja California peninsula north of Loreto * Mainland Mexico north of Huatabampito * Baja California north of Ensenada to the California/Mexico border * California/Mexico border to the Orange/Los Angeles County Line * Catalina Island A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests in the southwestern U.S. should monitor the progress of Hilary. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.”
MORE COPY/PASTE NHC “HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ———————- Key messages for Hilary can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP4.shtml. RAINFALL: Hilary is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts up to 10 inches, across portions of the Baja California Peninsula through Sunday night. Flash flooding, locally significant, will be possible. Heavy rainfall in association with Hilary is expected to impact the Southwestern United States through next Wednesday, peaking on Sunday and Monday. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated amounts of 10 inches, are expected across portions of southern California and southern Nevada. Rare and dangerous flooding will be possible. Elsewhere across portions of the Western United States, rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area Saturday night and are possible within the hurricane watch by early Sunday. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area by late today, and are possible within the watch area in Mexico on Saturday and in southern California beginning Sunday. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is likely to produce coastal flooding along the western Baja California peninsula of Mexico near where the center passes the coast in areas of onshore winds, or east of the center if Hilary makes landfall. The surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Large swells generated by Hilary will affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico and the Baja California peninsula over the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.”
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The image above is a comparison of the 4 main computer models showing approximate arrival time and rain rate for the next few days. Take them all with a grain of salt. I know I will personally more than likely see at least much higher gusts due to the direction my home faces. I hope I personally do not get anywhere near that much rain. I am sure from Cabo Bello, San Jose up towards La Paz will get much more.
OH! PLEASE avoid the beaches. Those waves I told you about are already rolling in. One last image below of what we might expect in Los Cabos.
Please refer to the weather stations nearest you for what you might anticipate in other areas up the coast of Baja, as we will all be impacted. Those of you in the hurricane watch and warning areas, we will be thinking of you. xoxo
Southern California, we are thinking of you as well! xoxo
If you missed it, this was my last blog from yesterday https://livecaboradio.blog/2023/08/17/hilary-becomes-a-major-hurricane/
xoxo
Just Jenn … has babbled enough today!
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