It has been a few days since we’ve had anything particularly interesting to talk about in the Eastern Pacific, but the Pacific has not exactly been sitting still.
As of Friday morning, there are two named tropical systems being tracked across the eastern and central Pacific: Tropical Storm Hernan and Tropical Storm Lala.
And while neither is a threat to Los Cabos, Lala is a particularly interesting storm to watch because of where it’s headed.
🌺 Lala is headed toward Hawaii
Tropical Storm Lala is currently several hundred miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii, moving west-northwestward at about 12 mph.
At the 8 AM HST advisory, Lala had maximum sustained winds of 60 mph.
The forecast track takes Lala generally toward Hawaii, with the system expected to weaken as it approaches the islands. The situation is being closely monitored by the National Hurricane Center and the Central Pacific Hurricane Center.
And there’s a bit of hurricane history here that makes this particularly noteworthy.
Hawaii does not frequently find itself dealing with hurricane warnings. The last time the state experienced a hurricane warning was during Hurricane Lane in August 2018. Hurricane Iselle in 2014 also prompted hurricane warnings for portions of Hawaii.
So while Lala is not a Cabo story, it is certainly a Pacific weather story worth watching.
And then there’s Hernan…
Meanwhile, back in the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Hernan is very much NOT coming to Cabo.
At 5 AM HST Friday, Hernan was located near 15.4°N, 132.1°W — approximately 1,535 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.
Hernan had maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and was moving south-southwestward.
The storm has been struggling with strong westerly wind shear and dry air, and the latest forecast calls for Hernan to weaken into a remnant low within about 24 hours, before eventually dissipating.
So, Cabo?
No.
Hernan is heading away from us, not toward us.
It may still produce some interesting satellite imagery—and that’s about it for Los Cabos.
👀 But wait… There is more.
Because this is the tropics, we’re not quite done.
The National Hurricane Center is also watching two additional areas of potential development in the Eastern Pacific.
One area could develop several hundred miles south of southern Mexico early next week and then move westward or west-northwestward, well south of Mexico.
The other could form well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula early next week and move generally westward.
Both currently have only a 20% chance of development over the next seven days, with formation chances near zero over the next 48 hours.
In other words:
Worth watching? Yes.
A Cabo threat? Absolutely not at this point.
And that’s an important distinction during hurricane season.
A disturbance showing up on a map does not automatically mean a storm is coming to Baja California Sur. Location, steering currents, environmental conditions, and the eventual track all matter—and those things can change considerably over several days.
For now, the Pacific has given us a couple of interesting systems to watch, a little tropical weather education, and some impressive satellite imagery.
But for Los Cabos?
Still no reason to panic.
We’ll keep watching.
Because apparently, the Pacific didn’t get the memo that we were taking a few days off. 😏
— Live Cabo
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