While the computer models are all over the place, in the next few days we could receive 0.05 inches to 2+ inches at the time of writing this.
SEE? All over the place. And of course, it can and will change as per usual so keep checking your preferred weather app or website that you feel is the most accurate for where you live in the region. The screenshot taken above was specific to Cabo San Lucas.
One very important thing that MUST be mentioned, is that regardless of how close or how far this system that has not fully developed gets or how strong it will be, is that you absolutely MUST take precautions along the beaches. We should anticipate anywhere from 8-12 foot waves.
So even if your beach of choice does not have a year-round sign like say … Pedregal, where there is actually a very large sign but people ignore it not just there but on many pacific side beaches, and also ignore the verbal warnings when we get storms even at the swimmable beaches, you will want to avoid getting close to the shore even on Medano. Please, take this warning seriously.
Not long ago a storm that passed very far away from us still brought large waves to our beaches where a local family was on a beach that clearly has signs (year-round) of no swimming, and some kids got caught up in the waves and the dad saved them but lost his own life. (Yes, there are life rings and rope available but the neighbors that saw the whole thing happen from their villas didn’t say whether or not the dad tried to use them which is beside the point). This happened while we were at a memorial service for a dear friend, founder of Live Cabo Radio, Carol Billups.
Another thing to remember if we get a lot of rain all at once is that downtown will flood for a bit until the water makes its way to the marina and DO NOT play in the rainwater. It’s not just water … IJS.
I think this about covers it for now.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=5 ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Aug 30 2022 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development during the next few days, and a tropical depression is expected to form later this week or by this weekend. The system is forecast to move west-northwestward or northwestward, likely remaining a few hundred miles off the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. 2. South of Southern Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the southern coast of Mexico by late this week. Some gradual development of this system is possible over the weekend while it moves westward or west-northwestward near the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Pasch