First storm kinda close to Baja this season … newly formed Tropical Storm IVO – most important info is that there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. We will most likely see some rain.
000 WTPZ35 KNHC 212034 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ivo Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102014 300 PM MDT Wed Aug 21 2019 ...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM IVO... ...EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY INTO A HURRICANE BY FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.8N 109.5W ABOUT 490 MI...790 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ivo was located near latitude 15.8 North, longitude 109.5 West. Ivo is moving toward the west-northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h). A decrease in forward speed and a turn to the northwest is expected by Thursday, with a northwestward motion continuing through Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady strengthening is expected and Ivo is forecast to become a hurricane by Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Latto/Pasch
How much rain? Not a clue. Every site tells us something different and each changes on the hour. Might have to use a weather rock. Expect an inch, plan for 3 at least even if we only end up with sprinkles. No one likes driving through the Squid Roe intersection when we’ve gotten too much too quickly.
One thing that is for certain, rain or no rain, expect the surf to be up and take extreme caution along the shore. We are looking at sets coming in about 2-3 meters high, with larger rogues so please be very careful especially Friday/Saturday.
For more information, this is the link to the NHC https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac
I’ll update if and as needed.
xoxo,
Just Jenn
360 Serving (92 Lb) Survival Food Bucket – Long Term Emergency Storage
from: Legacy Food Storage
